Kerala Election 2011 predictions :)

First of all start with Trivandrum district...Total constituencys 14

1.VARKALA

LDF: AA RAHEEM
UDF : VARKALA KAHAR

UDF RULING MOST OF THE PANCHAYTHS ND VARKALA MUNCIPALTY .MORE THAN THAT VARKALA KAHARS PERSONAL CHARISMA SURELY ATTRACT VOTERS AS ALSO HIS CLEAN IMAGE AND SIMPLE APPROACH...COMPARE TO KAHAR,AA RAHEEM S A WEAK CANDIDATE

RESULT:- VARKALA KAHAR WIN

2.ATTINGAL

LDF: ADV B SATHYAN
UDF: THANKAMONY DIVAKARAN

LDF RULING MOST OF THE PANCHAYTHS AND MUCIPALITY..BOTH UDF ND LDF CANDIDATES R WEAK..DEN THE PRESENCE OF UDF REBEL CANDIDATE SURESH ALSO FAVOURABLE FOR THE LDF VICTORY

RESULT: SATHYAN WIN

3 VAMANAPURAM

LDF:KOLIYAKODE KRISHNANNAIR
UDF: MOHANCHANDRAN

UDF RULING MOST THE PANCHAYATHS..AFTER DELIMITATION 2 UDF FAVOURABLE PANCHAYATHS ADDED TO IT..ONE OF THE TOUGHEST FIGHT GOIN TO HAPPEN HERE DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF STRONG LEADER KOLIYAKODE KRISHNANAIR..BT I THK THE RESULT SHOULD BE FAVOURABLE TO UDF.

RESULT:MOHANACHANDRAN WIN

4.CHIRAYINKIL

LDF: V SASI
UDF.VIDYADHARAN

UDF RULING 3 PANCHAYATHS AND LDF RULING 5 PANCHAYATHS WITH BIG MARGINS.BOTH THE CANDIDATES ARE WEAK.HERE CPI 's REALATION WITH CPM IS NOT CORDIAL.SNDP ALREADY ANNOUNCED THEIR SUPPORT TO UDF.XPECTING A NECK TO NECK FIGHT WITH SLIGHT ADVANTAGE TO LDF

RESULT: V SASI WIN

5.NEDUMANGAD

LDF:RAMACHANDRAN NAIR
UDF:PALODE RAVI

AFTER DELIMITATION BOTH FRONTS HAVE EQUAL ADVANTAGE..LDF CANDIDATE S WEAK AS COMPARE TO PALODE RAVI..HE REPRESENTED NEDUMANGAD TWICE ND LOST LAST 2 ELECTIONS WITH NARROW MARGINS..THINK HE WILL BACK TO POWER THIS TYME

RESULT: PALODE RAVI WIN

6.ARUVIKKARA

LDF:AMABALAKKARA SREEDHARAN NAIR
UDF: G KARTHIKEYAN

NO DOUBT,IT'S A UDF BASTION...G KARTHIKEYAN REPERSENTING THIS CONSTITUENCY SINCE 1991.EXPECTING A LANDSIDE VICTORY FOR UDF WITH A MARGIN OF MORE THAN 20000 VOTES

RESULT: G KARTHIKEYAN WIN

7.KATTAKADA

LDF:JAYA DALLY
UDF : N SAKTHAN

KATTAKADA IS UNDOUBTELY A UDF HEARTLAND...EVEN IN LOKSABHA ELECTIONS UDF 'S WEAK CANDIDATE G BALACHANDRAN GT 6000 VOTES MAJORITY AGAINST ADV A SAMBATH..NADAR VOTES MOSTLY IN FAVOUR TO N SAKTHAN..SURE UDF VICTORY WITH A MARGIN OF MORE THAN 15000 VOTES

RESULT:N SAKTHAN WIN

8.NEMOM

LDF:V SIVANKUTTY
UDF:CHARUPARA RAVI
BJP:O RAJAGOPAL

NEMOM WITNESSED A TOUGH TRIANGULAR BATTLE..THE NOTORIOUS IMAGE OF LDF CANDIDATE MAY ADVERSELY AFFECT HIS PERSPECTS.CONGRESS PEOPLE NOT MUCH INTERTSED TO WORK FOR JANADADAL CANDIDATE..BJP VOTE SHARES MORE IN THIS CONSTITUENCE,MORE EVER THE GOOD IMAGE OF O RAJAGOPAL AND THE NEUTRAL VOTES MAY BE IN FAVOUR OF HIM.HOWEVER I THK BJP CANDIDATE O RAJAGOPAL S THE FRONT RUNNER ND BJP WILL GET A LOTUS THIS TYME ..

RESULT : O RAJAGOPAL WIN

9.VATTIYOORKAVU

LDF:CHERIYAN PHILIP
UDF: K MURALEEDHARAN

THE ENTRY OF LEADERS SON K MURALEEDHARAN IN TO THE ELECTORAL BATTLE TRANSFORMED CONTEST TO A INTERSTING ONE...IT SEEMS A CALK WALK FOR UDF..EXPECTING A BIG VICTORY WITH A MARGIN F MORE THAN 10000 VOTES

RESULT:K MURALEEDHARAN WIN

10.KAZHAKOOTAM

LDF:AJAYAKUMAR
UDF.MA VAHEED

AFTER DELIMITATION KAZHAKOOTAM IS FAVOURABLE TO BOTH FRONTS.BT I THK THE ADDITION OF URBAN AREAS MAY BE IN FAVOURABLE TO UDF..EXPECTING A CLOSE FIGHT WITH ADVANTAGE UDF.BECAUSE THE UDF CANDIDATE WS SO STRONG ,SITTING MLA SINCE 2001.

RESULT: MA VAHEED WIN

11.TRIVANDRUM CENTRAL

LDF:SURENDRAN PILLAI
UDF:VS SHIVAKUMAR

TRIVANDRUM ALSO WITNESSING A TOUGH FIGHT B/W 2 PERSONALTYS..SURENDRAN PILLAI S IMAGE S THE SITTING MLA AND AS A MINISTER HE DID MANY THINGS TO THIS CONSTITUENCY.ON THE OTHER SIDE THE ENTRY OF EX MP ND DCC PRESIDENT VS SHIVAKUMAR MADE HIM AS A FRONT RUNNER TO WIN TRIVANDRUM AHEAD OF SURENDRANPILAI

RESULT: VS SHIVAKUMAR WIN

12.KOVALAM

LDF:JAMEELA PRAKASAM
UDF: GEORGE MERCIER

GOOD CONTEST B/W THE SITTING MLA GEORGE MERCIER ND WIFE OF EX MLA,KOVALAM.JAMEELA MAY EAT INTO VOTES OF UDF ESCPECIALLY FROM NADAR COMMUNITY.BT I THK GEORGE MERCIER WIL COMPENSATE THAT DUE TO THE CHRISTIAN CONSOLIDATION.

RESULT: GEORGE MERCIER WIN

13.NEYYATTINKARA

LDF.SELVARAJ
UDF: THAMPANOOR RAVI

AFTER DELIMITATION 3 NADAR MAJORITY PANCHAYTHS ADDED TO NEYYATINKARA.IT SHOLUD BE FAVOURABLE TO LDF..SAME TYME NSS VOTES IN URBAN AREAS MSTLY IN THE POCKET OF THAMPANOOR RAVI..OVERALL A TOUGH FIGHT WITH UDF ADVANTAGE

RESULT:THAMPANOOR RAVI WIN

14: PARASSALA

LDF:ANAVOOR NAGAPPAN
UDF:AT GEORGE

IT WILL BE A PHOTO FINISH..DUE TO THE PERESENCE OF UDF REBEL CANDIDATE ,THIS SEGMENT MAY BE IN FAVOUR OF LDF

RESULT: ANAVOOR NAGAPPAN WIN

OVERALL
UDF :10-11
LDF:3-4
BJP 0-1

NEXT ANALYSIS ND PREDICTIONS OF KOLLAM DISTRICT :)