ASSEMBLY ELECTION PREDICTIONS KOLLAM DISTRICT

11 CONSTITUENCYS IN KOLLAM DISTRICT

1.KOLLAM

LDF:PK GURUDASAN
UDF:KC RAJAN

AFTER DELIMITATION THRIKKADAVOOR PANHCYATH S IN KOLLAM CONSTITUENCY.ALWAYS UDF FAVOURABLE PANCHAYATH..BT I HOPE PK GURUDASAN MAINTAIN THAT WITH THE HELP OF OTHR PANCHAYATHS ND URBAN AREA

RESULT: PK GURUDASAN WIN

2.KUNDARA

LDF:MA BABY
UDF:JERMIYAS

NO DOUBT LDF BASTION AFTER DELIMITATION...EASY WALKOVER 4 MA BABY

RESULT:MA BABY WIN

3.CHATHANOOR

LDF: JAYALAL
UDF:BINDHU KRISHNA

AFTER DELIMITATION UDF MAJORTY PANCHAYATHS LIK POOYAPALLY CMES TO THE PART OF THIS CONSTITUENCY..CPI CANDIDATE S WEAK COMPARE TO UDF.MAHILA CONGRESS PRESIDENT BINDHUKRISHNA MAY BECOME A MINISTER,IF SHE WON THE ELECTIONS..BECZZ MOST OF THE OTHR UDF LADY CANDIDATES GOIN TO LOOSE

RESULT: BINDHUKRISHNA WIN

4.KOTTARAKKARA

LDF:AISHA POTTY
UDF.MURALI

KOTTARAKARA GOIN TO FACE A TOUGH CONTEST..ITS A PRESTIGE FIGHT OF BALAKRISHNAPILLAI.BT THE ADDITION OF 2 LDF BASTIONS VELIYAM ND KAREEPRA MAY CHANGE THE THINGS..50:50 CAHNCES FOR BOTH FRONTS

RESULT: AISHA POTTY WIN

5.CHADAYAMANGALAM

LDF:MULLAKARA
UDF: SHAHIDA KAMAL

NO DOUBT...EASY WALKOVER ...

RESULT: MULLAKARA WIN

6.IRAVIPURAM

LDF:AZEEZ
UDF:PKK BAVA

ONE OF THE CLOSE FIGHT B/W 2 STRONG POLITICIANS..PKK BAVA REPRESENTED DIS CONSTITUENCY N 1991 ND BCME MINISTER..AFTER 20 YEARS HE S BACK TO HIS OLD LAND.AZEEZ SITTING MLA OF IRAVIPURAM SINCE 2001 ..PRESENCE OF PDF IS A BIG FACTOR..IF MUSLIM LEAUE ND CONGRESS VOTES CORRECTLY POLLED,IT SHOULD BE FAVOURABLE TO PKKBAVA

RESULT:PKK BAVA WIN

7.KARUNAGAPPALLY

LDF:C DIVAKARAN
UDF:RAJANBABU

CPI WORKERS IN KNPLY TOTALLY AGAINST C DIVAKRAN CONTESTING DIS TYME.THEY R SUPPORTING R RAMACHANDRAN TO CONTEST HERE..SNDP SUPPORT PLAYS A CRUCIAL ROLE HERE..JSS S CONTESTING FR UDF,SO I DOUBT THAT SHOLUD BE FAVOURABLE TO UDF

RESULT: RAJAN BABU WIN

8.PUNALUR

LDF:RAJU
UDF:JOHNSON ABRAHAM

LDF BASTION ...P RAJU SITTING MLA HAVE GOOD NAME AMONG THE COMMON PEOPLE ND THE INTERNAL CLASHES IN UDF CREATES AN EASY VICTORY FR HIM.

RESULT:RAJU WIN

9.PATHANAPURAM

LDF:RAJAGOPAL
UDF:GANESHKUMAR

THIS TYME THINGS NT MUCH EASY FOR GANESH KUMAR..AFTER DELIMITATION SOM LDF PANCHAYATHS ADDED TO IT..LDF GONNA FIGHT WITH THEIR STRONG CANDIDATE RAJAGOPAL..HOPE STAR VALUE OF GANESH AND HIS PERFORMANCES AS A MLA ND MINISTR MSTLY IN FAVOUR OF HIM THIS TYME ALSO...

RESULT: GANESHKUMAR WIN

10.KUNNATHOOR

LDF:KOVUR KUNJUMON
UDF.RAVI

LDF SITTING MLA KUNJUMON CONTESTING AGIN FROM HERE..IN 2001 HE WON BY 26 VOTES.2006 HE ELECTED AGAIN WITH BIG MARGIN..AFTER DELIMIATION UDF PANCHAYTHS ARE ADDED ND THEY GVE A CHANCE TO THE YOUNGLEADER RAVI..HEARD SITUATIONS SHOLUD BE CHANGED THIS TYME...SHOLUDBE A PHOTO FINISH..

RESULT:KUNJUMON WIN

11.CHAVARA...

LDF:PREMACHANDRAN
UDF:SHIBUBABY JOHN

VIP CONSTITUENCY...MINSITER PREMACHANDRAN V/S SON OF BABY JOHN...THIS ONE S THE TOUGHEST ONE AMONG 140 CONSTITUECNYS...LAST TYME PREMACHANDRAN WON BY 1200 VOTES...HOPE NAIR ND EZHAVA VOTES SHOULD BE THE DECIDING FACTOR... POLITICAL ND CLEAN IMAGE OF PREMACHANDRAN HELP HIM TO RETAIN THE SEAT..

RESULT:NK PREMACHANDRAN WIN


OVERALL...NO DOUBT KOLLAM S RED BASTION

LDF 6-7

UDF 4-5

Kerala Election 2011 predictions :)

First of all start with Trivandrum district...Total constituencys 14

1.VARKALA

LDF: AA RAHEEM
UDF : VARKALA KAHAR

UDF RULING MOST OF THE PANCHAYTHS ND VARKALA MUNCIPALTY .MORE THAN THAT VARKALA KAHARS PERSONAL CHARISMA SURELY ATTRACT VOTERS AS ALSO HIS CLEAN IMAGE AND SIMPLE APPROACH...COMPARE TO KAHAR,AA RAHEEM S A WEAK CANDIDATE

RESULT:- VARKALA KAHAR WIN

2.ATTINGAL

LDF: ADV B SATHYAN
UDF: THANKAMONY DIVAKARAN

LDF RULING MOST OF THE PANCHAYTHS AND MUCIPALITY..BOTH UDF ND LDF CANDIDATES R WEAK..DEN THE PRESENCE OF UDF REBEL CANDIDATE SURESH ALSO FAVOURABLE FOR THE LDF VICTORY

RESULT: SATHYAN WIN

3 VAMANAPURAM

LDF:KOLIYAKODE KRISHNANNAIR
UDF: MOHANCHANDRAN

UDF RULING MOST THE PANCHAYATHS..AFTER DELIMITATION 2 UDF FAVOURABLE PANCHAYATHS ADDED TO IT..ONE OF THE TOUGHEST FIGHT GOIN TO HAPPEN HERE DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF STRONG LEADER KOLIYAKODE KRISHNANAIR..BT I THK THE RESULT SHOULD BE FAVOURABLE TO UDF.

RESULT:MOHANACHANDRAN WIN

4.CHIRAYINKIL

LDF: V SASI
UDF.VIDYADHARAN

UDF RULING 3 PANCHAYATHS AND LDF RULING 5 PANCHAYATHS WITH BIG MARGINS.BOTH THE CANDIDATES ARE WEAK.HERE CPI 's REALATION WITH CPM IS NOT CORDIAL.SNDP ALREADY ANNOUNCED THEIR SUPPORT TO UDF.XPECTING A NECK TO NECK FIGHT WITH SLIGHT ADVANTAGE TO LDF

RESULT: V SASI WIN

5.NEDUMANGAD

LDF:RAMACHANDRAN NAIR
UDF:PALODE RAVI

AFTER DELIMITATION BOTH FRONTS HAVE EQUAL ADVANTAGE..LDF CANDIDATE S WEAK AS COMPARE TO PALODE RAVI..HE REPRESENTED NEDUMANGAD TWICE ND LOST LAST 2 ELECTIONS WITH NARROW MARGINS..THINK HE WILL BACK TO POWER THIS TYME

RESULT: PALODE RAVI WIN

6.ARUVIKKARA

LDF:AMABALAKKARA SREEDHARAN NAIR
UDF: G KARTHIKEYAN

NO DOUBT,IT'S A UDF BASTION...G KARTHIKEYAN REPERSENTING THIS CONSTITUENCY SINCE 1991.EXPECTING A LANDSIDE VICTORY FOR UDF WITH A MARGIN OF MORE THAN 20000 VOTES

RESULT: G KARTHIKEYAN WIN

7.KATTAKADA

LDF:JAYA DALLY
UDF : N SAKTHAN

KATTAKADA IS UNDOUBTELY A UDF HEARTLAND...EVEN IN LOKSABHA ELECTIONS UDF 'S WEAK CANDIDATE G BALACHANDRAN GT 6000 VOTES MAJORITY AGAINST ADV A SAMBATH..NADAR VOTES MOSTLY IN FAVOUR TO N SAKTHAN..SURE UDF VICTORY WITH A MARGIN OF MORE THAN 15000 VOTES

RESULT:N SAKTHAN WIN

8.NEMOM

LDF:V SIVANKUTTY
UDF:CHARUPARA RAVI
BJP:O RAJAGOPAL

NEMOM WITNESSED A TOUGH TRIANGULAR BATTLE..THE NOTORIOUS IMAGE OF LDF CANDIDATE MAY ADVERSELY AFFECT HIS PERSPECTS.CONGRESS PEOPLE NOT MUCH INTERTSED TO WORK FOR JANADADAL CANDIDATE..BJP VOTE SHARES MORE IN THIS CONSTITUENCE,MORE EVER THE GOOD IMAGE OF O RAJAGOPAL AND THE NEUTRAL VOTES MAY BE IN FAVOUR OF HIM.HOWEVER I THK BJP CANDIDATE O RAJAGOPAL S THE FRONT RUNNER ND BJP WILL GET A LOTUS THIS TYME ..

RESULT : O RAJAGOPAL WIN

9.VATTIYOORKAVU

LDF:CHERIYAN PHILIP
UDF: K MURALEEDHARAN

THE ENTRY OF LEADERS SON K MURALEEDHARAN IN TO THE ELECTORAL BATTLE TRANSFORMED CONTEST TO A INTERSTING ONE...IT SEEMS A CALK WALK FOR UDF..EXPECTING A BIG VICTORY WITH A MARGIN F MORE THAN 10000 VOTES

RESULT:K MURALEEDHARAN WIN

10.KAZHAKOOTAM

LDF:AJAYAKUMAR
UDF.MA VAHEED

AFTER DELIMITATION KAZHAKOOTAM IS FAVOURABLE TO BOTH FRONTS.BT I THK THE ADDITION OF URBAN AREAS MAY BE IN FAVOURABLE TO UDF..EXPECTING A CLOSE FIGHT WITH ADVANTAGE UDF.BECAUSE THE UDF CANDIDATE WS SO STRONG ,SITTING MLA SINCE 2001.

RESULT: MA VAHEED WIN

11.TRIVANDRUM CENTRAL

LDF:SURENDRAN PILLAI
UDF:VS SHIVAKUMAR

TRIVANDRUM ALSO WITNESSING A TOUGH FIGHT B/W 2 PERSONALTYS..SURENDRAN PILLAI S IMAGE S THE SITTING MLA AND AS A MINISTER HE DID MANY THINGS TO THIS CONSTITUENCY.ON THE OTHER SIDE THE ENTRY OF EX MP ND DCC PRESIDENT VS SHIVAKUMAR MADE HIM AS A FRONT RUNNER TO WIN TRIVANDRUM AHEAD OF SURENDRANPILAI

RESULT: VS SHIVAKUMAR WIN

12.KOVALAM

LDF:JAMEELA PRAKASAM
UDF: GEORGE MERCIER

GOOD CONTEST B/W THE SITTING MLA GEORGE MERCIER ND WIFE OF EX MLA,KOVALAM.JAMEELA MAY EAT INTO VOTES OF UDF ESCPECIALLY FROM NADAR COMMUNITY.BT I THK GEORGE MERCIER WIL COMPENSATE THAT DUE TO THE CHRISTIAN CONSOLIDATION.

RESULT: GEORGE MERCIER WIN

13.NEYYATTINKARA

LDF.SELVARAJ
UDF: THAMPANOOR RAVI

AFTER DELIMITATION 3 NADAR MAJORITY PANCHAYTHS ADDED TO NEYYATINKARA.IT SHOLUD BE FAVOURABLE TO LDF..SAME TYME NSS VOTES IN URBAN AREAS MSTLY IN THE POCKET OF THAMPANOOR RAVI..OVERALL A TOUGH FIGHT WITH UDF ADVANTAGE

RESULT:THAMPANOOR RAVI WIN

14: PARASSALA

LDF:ANAVOOR NAGAPPAN
UDF:AT GEORGE

IT WILL BE A PHOTO FINISH..DUE TO THE PERESENCE OF UDF REBEL CANDIDATE ,THIS SEGMENT MAY BE IN FAVOUR OF LDF

RESULT: ANAVOOR NAGAPPAN WIN

OVERALL
UDF :10-11
LDF:3-4
BJP 0-1

NEXT ANALYSIS ND PREDICTIONS OF KOLLAM DISTRICT :)